President's Obama will announce his decision on troops in Afghanistan tonight, and if the impressions are correct, it will mean what some might label as a "smart surge," that surges, but not enough to make those who feel an all-out commitment of troops is necessary. If so, this will verify my call nearly twoyears ago that this is the centrist, modernist leader we haven't seen muhc from since LBJ.
But it is also likely to do significant damage in the postmodern realm of media buzz for Obama. Why? Because it contradicts the image that won him a Nobel Peace Prize within days of being sworn into office. And, it will disappoint many of his strongest supporters.
An example of the argument for why this is the wrong move can be found here. If this argument resonates with me, I bet it resonates with many other people who supported candidate Obama. This is not merely angering the base; it has the potential for creating disenchantment among young voters, perhaps the most important new part of the Obama/Democratic coalition in 2008.
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